SILVER

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SILVER

Daily outlook for base metals prices 08/07/2014 09:25:00

Quotes from Commerzbank Corporates & Markets:

-Base metals: Metal prices are trading somewhat more firmly across the board this morning and are thus ignoring yesterday's weaker equity markets in Europe and the US. The price rises observed since mid-June appear not to have run out of steam as yet despite their speculative aspect.

-Copper is trading at just shy of $7,200 per ton - close to its 4½-month high again - while aluminium is still priced well above the $1,900 per ton mark and nickel is holding its own at above $19,000 per ton. It is zinc that has made the strongest gains, however, rising to nearly $2,300 per ton to reach its highest level since August 2011.

-That said, there are no economic figures or other data that might explain the price increases. They will only be published again on Thursday when the Chinese customs authorities releases the preliminary import data for copper, aluminium and iron ore in June. Until then, market participants will doubtless be concentrating on a handful of events such as the presidential election that is being held in Indonesia tomorrow.

-According to recent polls, both candidates are roughly neck-and-neck. The outcome of the election is likely to dictate what happens to the mineral ore export ban in the country - with all the ensuing medium- and long-term consequences, especially for prices of nickel and bauxite. Indonesia is among the biggest suppliers of both these commodities on the world market.

Daily outlook for base metals prices 07/07/2014 09:06:00

Quotes from Commerzbank Corporates & Markets:

-Base metals: After achieving what were in some cases noticeable price rises recently, base metals are taking a breather just now and are beginning the new week of trading with a negative undertone. All metals are falling: copper for example has dropped to below $7,100 per ton. The main reason is likely to be profit-taking after prices had increased fairly sharply within a short time and given that this surge was also driven partly by speculation.

-This latter aspect is confirmed by the latest CFTC's statistics, which showed that copper saw its net long positions expanded by a substantial 74% in the week to 1 July. At 24,700 contracts, they are at their highest level since January. It was long positions in particular that rose sharply, i.e. money managers bet significantly more heavily than before on climbing copper prices, meaning that correction potential had built up. News from Indonesia is also playing its part in the recent price slide.

-As the Indonesian economics minister announced this morning, the government has agreed with Freeport-McMoRan on a new contract for the export of copper ore. This would put an end to a dispute that has been simmering for six months - during which time Freeport-McMoRan has not exported any copper ore from Indonesia. If exports were to be resumed, more supply would be available again to the global copper market and the currently tight situation would doubtless ease somewhat.